Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cory Sandhagen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2019·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsCory Sandhagen: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Cory Sandhagen wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raphael Assuncao has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
- Cory Sandhagen has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Cory Sandhagen
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'11"
167.64 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Cory Sandhagen
oldest →latest
W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricCory Sandhagen
3.22
Strikes / min
4.86
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
66%
Strike defense
56%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
1.15
78%
Takedown defense
56%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.9-40.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Cory Sandhagen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16