Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Davey Grant won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsDavey Grant: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Davey Grant
Blue Corner
+116
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-136
(58%)
43
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22Davey Grant
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Louis Smolka · May 22L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricDavey Grant
3.22
Strikes / min
5.58
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
66%
Strike defense
54%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.95
78%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoDavey Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+62.8-62.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Davey Grant
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15