Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raphael Assuncao won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raphael Assuncao has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Issei Tamura
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Issei Tamura
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tiequan Zhang · Feb 12L
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Mar 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricIssei Tamura
3.22
Strikes / min
1.89
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
4.58
66%
Strike defense
44%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.92
78%
Takedown defense
33%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 3.41 — meaningful gap-2.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoIssei Tamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Issei Tamura(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Issei Tamura
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights3