Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raphael Assuncao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 27, 2011·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsJohnny Eduardo: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(70.0%)
Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raphael Assuncao has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Johnny Eduardo has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Johnny Eduardo
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
43
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Johnny EduardoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15W
KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16L
KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17L
SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18L
SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricJohnny Eduardo
3.22
Strikes / min
2.95
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
66%
Strike defense
63%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.22
78%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoJohnny Eduardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Johnny Eduardo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8