Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ricky Simon won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsRicky Simon: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Ricky Simon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Ricky Simon
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
43
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Ricky Simon
oldest →latest
L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24W
KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25W
vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25D
vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricRicky Simon
3.22
Strikes / min
3.03
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
66%
Strike defense
61%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
4.49
78%
Takedown defense
76%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoRicky Simon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Ricky Simon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.4-6.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Ricky Simon
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights17