Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raphael Assuncao won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, October 9, 2013·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsTJ Dillashaw: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(61.8%)
Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
TJ Dillashaw
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
43
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23TJ Dillashaw
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricTJ Dillashaw
3.22
Strikes / min
5.09
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
66%
Strike defense
62%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
1.56
78%
Takedown defense
77%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
TJ Dillashaw
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18