Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raphael Assuncao won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2013·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsVaughan Lee: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Vaughan Lee
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Vaughan LeeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs TJ Dillashaw · Jul 12W
vs Motonobu Tezuka · Feb 13W
vs Nam Phan · Mar 14L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · May 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricVaughan Lee
3.22
Strikes / min
3.47
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
66%
Strike defense
70%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.81
78%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoVaughan Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Vaughan Lee(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.5-35.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Vaughan Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8