Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raphael Assuncao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsVictor Henry: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(50.0%)
Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Raphael Assuncao has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Victor Henry
Blue Corner
+350
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-435
(81%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael AssuncaoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Victor Henry
oldest →latest
W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22W
vs Tony Gravely · Mar 23W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24W
vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricVictor Henry
3.22
Strikes / min
7.17
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
5.19
66%
Strike defense
48%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
1.04
78%
Takedown defense
81%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Victor Henry(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.7-37.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Victor Henry
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6