Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Julianna Pena won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 5, 2024·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Raquel Pennington wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Julianna Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raquel Pennington enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Raquel Pennington has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Raquel Pennington
Red Corner
VS
Julianna Pena
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raquel PenningtonW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Sep 21W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24Julianna PenaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raquel PenningtonMetricJulianna Pena
4.10
Strikes / min
3.10
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.56
61%
Strike defense
57%
0.83
TDs / 15 min
1.70
62%
Takedown defense
24%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raquel PenningtonJulianna Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.4-53.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-539.0539.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Raquel Pennington
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19
Julianna Pena
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12