Women's Featherweight
3 Rounds
Raquel Pennington won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaquel Pennington: Well-roundedvsMacy Chiasson: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Raquel Pennington wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Raquel Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raquel Pennington has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Macy Chiasson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raquel Pennington
Red Corner
VS
Macy Chiasson
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raquel Pennington
oldest →latest
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Sep 21W
vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25L
vs Yana Santos · Oct 25L
vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raquel PenningtonMetricMacy Chiasson
4.10
Strikes / min
3.21
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
61%
Strike defense
44%
0.83
TDs / 15 min
1.87
62%
Takedown defense
62%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raquel PenningtonMacy Chiasson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.2-5.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-182.0182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Raquel Pennington
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19
Macy Chiasson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14