Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 9, 2018·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rashad Evans has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rashad Evans has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rashad Evans
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
46
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chael Sonnen · Nov 13L
vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricAnthony Smith
2.14
Strikes / min
3.19
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
63%
Strike defense
44%
2.98
TDs / 15 min
0.44
73%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rashad EvansAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.435.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Rashad Evans
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25