Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rashad Evans won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2013·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Dan Henderson wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Rashad Evans wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rashad Evans has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rashad Evans has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rashad Evans
Red Corner
VS
Dan Henderson
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
46
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18Dan Henderson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricDan Henderson
2.14
Strikes / min
2.44
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
63%
Strike defense
51%
2.98
TDs / 15 min
1.52
73%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rashad EvansDan Henderson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Dan Henderson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.3-17.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rashad Evans
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Dan Henderson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11