Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Rashad Evans won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2012·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupRashad Evans: WrestlervsPhil Davis: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rashad Evans wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Rashad Evans wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Phil Davis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rashad Evans
Red Corner
VS
Phil Davis
Blue Corner
-191
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+176
(36%)
46
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18Phil Davis
oldest →latest
W
vs Vinny Magalhaes · Apr 13W
vs Lyoto Machida · Aug 13L
vs Anthony Johnson · Apr 14W
vs Glover Teixeira · Oct 14L
vs Ryan Bader · Jan 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricPhil Davis
2.14
Strikes / min
2.85
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
1.33
63%
Strike defense
72%
2.98
TDs / 15 min
2.99
73%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap+1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rashad EvansPhil Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Phil Davis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.428.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Rashad Evans
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Phil Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11