Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rashad Evans won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2011·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupRashad Evans: WrestlervsTito Ortiz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rashad Evans wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Rashad Evans wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rashad Evans has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rashad Evans
Red Corner
VS
Tito Ortiz
Blue Corner
-375
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+335
(23%)
46
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18Tito OrtizL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Matt Hamill · Oct 10W
SUBvs Ryan Bader · Jul 11L
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Dec 11L
vs Forrest Griffin · Jul 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricTito Ortiz
2.14
Strikes / min
2.59
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.88
63%
Strike defense
60%
2.98
TDs / 15 min
2.47
73%
Takedown defense
54%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rashad EvansTito Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Tito Ortiz(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+399.0-399.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Rashad Evans
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Tito Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5