Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Christian Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2023·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupRaul Rosas Jr.: WrestlervsChristian Rodriguez: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Christian Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Christian Rodriguez has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
- Christian Rodriguez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raul Rosas Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Christian Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
21
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Aoriqileng · Sep 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25W
vs Rob Font · Mar 26Christian RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Isaac Dulgarian · Mar 24L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24W
vs Austin Bashi · Jan 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25L
vs Andre Fili · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricChristian Rodriguez
1.34
Strikes / min
3.85
1.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.85
52%
Strike defense
56%
6.10
TDs / 15 min
1.75
25%
Takedown defense
67%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raul Rosas Jr.Christian Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Christian Rodriguez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.2-13.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Raul Rosas Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Christian Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9