Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raul Rosas Jr. won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaul Rosas Jr.: WrestlervsJay Perrin: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(66.1%)
Actual result: Raul Rosas Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jay Perrin has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Raul Rosas Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Jay Perrin
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
21
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Aoriqileng · Sep 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25W
vs Rob Font · Mar 26Jay PerrinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mario Bautista · Feb 22L
vs Aoriqileng · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricJay Perrin
1.34
Strikes / min
3.71
1.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
52%
Strike defense
44%
6.10
TDs / 15 min
2.83
25%
Takedown defense
58%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raul Rosas Jr.Jay Perrin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Jay Perrin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.2-31.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Raul Rosas Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Jay Perrin
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3