Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raul Rosas Jr. won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2024·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupRaul Rosas Jr.: WrestlervsRicky Turcios: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Raul Rosas Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Ricky Turcios has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
- Ricky Turcios has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raul Rosas Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Ricky Turcios
Blue Corner
-298
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
21
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
vs Aoriqileng · Sep 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25W
vs Rob Font · Mar 26Ricky TurciosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brady Hiestand · Aug 21L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Jul 22W
vs Kevin Natividad · Nov 22L
vs Benardo Sopaj · Jan 25L
SUBvs Alberto Montes · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricRicky Turcios
1.34
Strikes / min
4.68
1.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.84
52%
Strike defense
51%
6.10
TDs / 15 min
0.85
25%
Takedown defense
44%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raul Rosas Jr.Ricky Turcios
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Ricky Turcios(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.50.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-301.0301.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Raul Rosas Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Ricky Turcios
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6