Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raul Rosas Jr. won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaul Rosas Jr.: WrestlervsTerrence Mitchell: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(62.0%)
Actual result: Raul Rosas Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Raul Rosas Jr. has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raul Rosas Jr. has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
- Terrence Mitchell has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raul Rosas Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Terrence Mitchell
Blue Corner
-700
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
21
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
170.18 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Aoriqileng · Sep 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25W
vs Rob Font · Mar 26Terrence Mitchell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricTerrence Mitchell
1.34
Strikes / min
2.21
1.24
Strikes absorbed / min
8.85
52%
Strike defense
41%
6.10
TDs / 15 min
3.69
25%
Takedown defense
0%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10Δ 6.74 — meaningful gap-6.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raul Rosas Jr.Terrence Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Terrence Mitchell(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.5-12.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Raul Rosas Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Terrence Mitchell
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2