Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raul Rosas Jr. won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 29, 2025·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupRaul Rosas Jr.: WrestlervsVince Morales: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Raul Rosas Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Vince Morales has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Raul Rosas Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Vince Morales
Blue Corner
-480
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+370
(21%)
21
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Aoriqileng · Sep 24W
vs Rob Font · Mar 26Vince MoralesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 21L
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 22L
vs Miles Johns · Nov 22L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 24L
vs Elijah Smith · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricVince Morales
1.34
Strikes / min
3.54
1.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
52%
Strike defense
54%
6.10
TDs / 15 min
0.71
25%
Takedown defense
63%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raul Rosas Jr.Vince Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Vince Morales(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+95.8-95.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Raul Rosas Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Vince Morales
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11