Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Casey Kenney won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2019·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupRay Borg: WrestlervsCasey Kenney: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Ray Borg wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Casey Kenney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Casey Kenney has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Casey Kenney has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
- Casey Kenney has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ray Borg
Red Corner
VS
Casey Kenney
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
32
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'4"
Height
5'7"
160.02 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ray Borg
oldest →latest
W
vs Jussier Formiga · Mar 17L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20L
vs Ricky Simon · May 20Casey KenneyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 20L
vs Dominick Cruz · Mar 21L
vs Song Yadong · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ray BorgMetricCasey Kenney
1.52
Strikes / min
4.85
1.93
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
48%
Strike defense
58%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
1.09
46%
Takedown defense
61%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ray BorgCasey Kenney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ray Borg(10 fights)Casey Kenney(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.1-39.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
Ray Borg
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights12
Casey Kenney
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8