Flyweight
3 Rounds
Justin Scoggins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 6, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRay Borg: WrestlervsJustin Scoggins: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Ray Borg wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Justin Scoggins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Scoggins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Scoggins has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ray Borg
Red Corner
VS
Justin Scoggins
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'4"
Height
5'7"
160.02 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ray Borg
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20L
vs Ricky Simon · May 20Justin ScogginsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs John Moraga · Sep 14W
vs Joshua Sampo · May 15L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 16L
vs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ray BorgMetricJustin Scoggins
1.52
Strikes / min
3.56
1.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
48%
Strike defense
55%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
3.42
46%
Takedown defense
82%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ray BorgJustin Scoggins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ray Borg(10 fights)Justin Scoggins(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.4-20.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Ray Borg
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights12
Justin Scoggins
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9