Flyweight

3 Rounds

Elo1496

Elo1503

Rei TsuruyavsJesus Aguilar

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Tale of the Tape

Rei Tsuruya

Red Corner

Jesus Aguilar

Blue Corner

-295

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1496

Elo

1503

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

N/A

Height

N/A

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rei Tsuruya

oldest →

vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 24

vs Joshua Van · Mar 25

latest

Jesus Aguilar

oldest →

vs Mateus Mendonca · Feb 24

SUBvs Stewart Nicoll · Aug 24

vs Rafael Estevam · Feb 25

vs Luis Gurule · Sep 25

vs Sumudaerji · Mar 26

latest

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rei Tsuruya(2 fights)Jesus Aguilar(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.3|Blue +9.3

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +364.0|Blue -364.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Rei Tsuruya

Odds

-295

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Rei Tsuruya (model pick · research)$134

Jesus Aguilar$320

No market line yet · model 55% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked May 28, 2026, 3:42 PM UTC · never rewritten

Rei Tsuruya

No profile data.

Jesus Aguilar

No profile data.