Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luis Gurule has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rei Tsuruya has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rei Tsuruya
oldest →W
vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 24 Luis Gurule
oldest →L
KOvs Ode Osbourne · Apr 25L
vs Jesus Aguilar · Sep 25W
DECvs Daniel Barez · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rei TsuruyaMetricLuis Gurule
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rei Tsuruya(3 fights)Luis Gurule(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +70.8|Blue -70.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rei TsuruyaTargetLuis Gurule
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rei Tsuruya edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:17
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
