Middleweight
3 Rounds
Reinier de Ridder won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Style matchupReinier de Ridder: WrestlervsBo Nickal: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Bo Nickal wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Reinier de Ridder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bo Nickal enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Bo Nickal has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bo Nickal has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Reinier de Ridder
Red Corner
VS
Bo Nickal
Blue Corner
+295
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-370
(79%)
35
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Reinier de RidderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26Bo NickalW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jamie Pickett · Mar 23W
KOvs Val Woodburn · Jul 23W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 24W
vs Paul Craig · Nov 24W
KOvs Rodolfo Vieira · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Reinier de RidderMetricBo Nickal
2.47
Strikes / min
3.35
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
46%
Strike defense
59%
2.56
TDs / 15 min
3.10
40%
Takedown defense
100%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.11Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Reinier de RidderBo Nickal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)Bo Nickal(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.526.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
Reinier de Ridder
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6
Bo Nickal
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6