Middleweight
5 Rounds
Brendan Allen won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, October 18, 2025·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupReinier de Ridder: WrestlervsBrendan Allen: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Reinier de Ridder wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Brendan Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Reinier de Ridder (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Reinier de Ridder
Red Corner
VS
Brendan Allen
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+184
(35%)
35
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Reinier de Ridder
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25W
KOvs Bo Nickal · May 25W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26Brendan Allen
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Paul Craig · Nov 23W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Reinier de RidderMetricBrendan Allen
2.47
Strikes / min
3.59
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
46%
Strike defense
47%
2.56
TDs / 15 min
1.56
40%
Takedown defense
56%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Reinier de RidderBrendan Allen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)Brendan Allen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-49.249.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Reinier de Ridder
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6
Brendan Allen
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18