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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Live · pre-fight pick preserved
Elo1525
Reinier de Ridder editorial illustration
Elo1497
Roman Dolidze editorial illustration

Reinier de RiddervsRoman DolidzeUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

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Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Roman Dolidze is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Reinier de Ridder has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Reinier de Ridder
Red Corner
VS
Roman Dolidze
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1525
Elo
1497
35
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Reinier de RidderL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25
W
KOvs Bo Nickal · May 25
W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25
L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25
L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26
latest
Roman DolidzeL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24
W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25
L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Reinier de RidderMetricRoman Dolidze
2.47
Strikes / min
3.19
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
46%
Strike defense
48%
2.56
TDs / 15 min
1.16
40%
Takedown defense
32%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.52
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801503152515481570← oldermost recent →
Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)Roman Dolidze(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO65%

Historical win share: Roman Dolidze earned 56% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission35%

Historical win share: Reinier de Ridder earned 50% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Reinier de Ridder

StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14