Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Renan Barao won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 21, 2013·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupRenan Barao: Well-roundedvsEddie Wineland: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Renan Barao wins(76.3%)
Actual result: Renan Barao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Renan Barao
Red Corner
VS
Eddie Wineland
Blue Corner
-750
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
vs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renan BaraoMetricEddie Wineland
3.78
Strikes / min
3.40
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.76
57%
Strike defense
68%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.34
91%
Takedown defense
86%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renan BaraoEddie Wineland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renan Barao(10 fights)Eddie Wineland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.8-72.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Eddie Wineland
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16