Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jeremy Stephens won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, May 29, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRenan Barao: Well-roundedvsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Renan Barao wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Jeremy Stephens wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Renan Barao
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renan BaraoMetricJeremy Stephens
3.78
Strikes / min
3.13
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
57%
Strike defense
57%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
1.10
91%
Takedown defense
61%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renan BaraoJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renan Barao(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.6-72.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26