Featherweight
3 Rounds
Renan Barao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 24, 2016·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Renan Barao wins(73.7%)
Actual result: Renan Barao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Renan Barao
Red Corner
VS
Phillipe Nover
Blue Corner
-640
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+470
(18%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Phillipe NoverL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Yui Chul Nam · May 15L
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Dec 15L
vs Rick Glenn · Feb 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renan BaraoMetricPhillipe Nover
3.78
Strikes / min
1.79
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
2.48
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.99
91%
Takedown defense
44%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renan BaraoPhillipe Nover
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renan Barao(10 fights)Phillipe Nover(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+63.1-63.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-171.0171.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Phillipe Nover
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4