Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Renan Barao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRenan Barao: Well-roundedvsScott Jorgensen: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Renan Barao wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Renan Barao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Scott Jorgensen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Renan Barao has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Renan Barao
Red Corner
VS
Scott Jorgensen
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Scott JorgensenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Mar 14W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 14L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Oct 14L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jul 15L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renan BaraoMetricScott Jorgensen
3.78
Strikes / min
3.37
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.41
57%
Strike defense
65%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
2.61
91%
Takedown defense
59%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renan BaraoScott Jorgensen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renan Barao(10 fights)Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Scott Jorgensen
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights12