Lightweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2020·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(64.9%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Renato Moicano
Red Corner
VS
Damir Hadzovic
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Damir HadzovicL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Polo Reyes · Feb 19L
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21L
vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renato MoicanoMetricDamir Hadzovic
4.10
Strikes / min
3.34
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.91
64%
Takedown defense
34%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renato MoicanoDamir Hadzovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.8-26.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Damir Hadzovic
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10