Lightweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 3, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRenato Moicano: Pressure fightervsDrew Dober: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(66.7%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano threatens submissions; Drew Dober has lost 36% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Renato Moicano
Red Corner
VS
Drew Dober
Blue Corner
-205
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Brad Riddell · Nov 22W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Oct 23L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renato MoicanoMetricDrew Dober
4.10
Strikes / min
4.48
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
59%
Strike defense
53%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.61
64%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renato MoicanoDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.416.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+329.0-329.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26