Lightweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRenato Moicano: Pressure fightervsJai Herbert: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(77.4%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jai Herbert has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Renato Moicano
Red Corner
VS
Jai Herbert
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Jai Herbert
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Mar 22W
vs Kyle Nelson · Jul 22L
vs Fares Ziam · Jul 23W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 24L
vs Chris Padilla · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renato MoicanoMetricJai Herbert
4.10
Strikes / min
3.19
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.42
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renato MoicanoJai Herbert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Jai Herbert(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.1-43.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.4-2.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Jai Herbert
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8