Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Fiziev won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRenato Moicano: Pressure fightervsRafael Fiziev: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Rafael Fiziev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rafael Fiziev has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Renato Moicano (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Renato Moicano
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Fiziev
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
37
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Rafael Fiziev
oldest →latest
L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renato MoicanoMetricRafael Fiziev
4.10
Strikes / min
4.71
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
4.84
59%
Strike defense
49%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.83
64%
Takedown defense
90%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Renato MoicanoRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.1-29.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Rafael Fiziev
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12