Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Reuben Duran won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Reuben Duran wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Reuben Duran wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Reuben Duran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Rivera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Reuben Duran threatens submissions; Francisco Rivera has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Francisco Rivera has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francisco Rivera has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Reuben Duran
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Rivera
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Reuben DuranL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Mar 11L
KOvs Hugo Viana · Dec 12L
vs George Roop · Mar 13Francisco RiveraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 14W
KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 15L
SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15L
vs Brad Pickett · Feb 16L
vs Erik Perez · Jul 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Reuben DuranMetricFrancisco Rivera
3.19
Strikes / min
4.07
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
50%
Strike defense
68%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
1.01
25%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.58evenly matched on net striking+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Reuben DuranFrancisco Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Reuben Duran(4 fights)Francisco Rivera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Reuben Duran
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Francisco Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10