Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jake Collier won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2015·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupRicardo Abreu: WrestlervsJake Collier: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jake Collier wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Jake Collier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Collier enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ricardo Abreu has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ricardo Abreu has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jake Collier has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ricardo Abreu
Red Corner
VS
Jake Collier
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Abreu
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Wagner Silva · May 14Jake CollierL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo AbreuMetricJake Collier
3.79
Strikes / min
5.80
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
68%
Strike defense
50%
2.13
TDs / 15 min
0.71
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ricardo AbreuJake Collier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Abreu(2 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.7-37.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+203.0-203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ricardo Abreu
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Jake Collier
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights14