Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Abreu won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Ricardo Abreu wins(69.8%)
Actual result: Ricardo Abreu wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ricardo Abreu threatens submissions; Wagner Silva has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Ricardo Abreu has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ricardo Abreu
Red Corner
VS
Wagner Silva
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Abreu
oldest →latest
L
vs Jake Collier · Jun 15Wagner Silva
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Colby Covington · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo AbreuMetricWagner Silva
3.79
Strikes / min
1.69
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
68%
Strike defense
65%
2.13
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
58%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking-1.18
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Abreu(2 fights)Wagner Silva(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ricardo Abreu
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Wagner Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2