Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Almeida won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2010·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupRicardo Almeida: WrestlervsMatt Brown: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Ricardo Almeida wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Ricardo Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ricardo Almeida threatens submissions; Matt Brown has lost 42% of fights by sub.
- Matt Brown has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ricardo Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Matt Brown
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
49
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Almeida
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Matt Hughes · Aug 10W
vs TJ Grant · Dec 10L
vs Mike Pyle · Mar 11Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo AlmeidaMetricMatt Brown
2.02
Strikes / min
3.76
1.20
Strikes absorbed / min
2.92
61%
Strike defense
55%
3.74
TDs / 15 min
1.68
31%
Takedown defense
63%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.82evenly matched on net striking+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ricardo AlmeidaMatt Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Almeida(4 fights)Matt Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ricardo Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25