Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Lamas
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19 Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo LamasMetricCharles Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ricardo LamasCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.8|Blue +27.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ricardo LamasTargetCharles Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Charles Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:11
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:13Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:16
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
