Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Grice has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Lamas
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19 Matt Grice
oldest →W
vs Leonard Garcia · Jun 12L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo LamasMetricMatt Grice
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ricardo LamasMatt Grice
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Matt Grice(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ricardo LamasTargetMatt Grice
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:47
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
