Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rich Attonito won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, September 15, 2010·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rich Attonito wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Rich Attonito wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Natal enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Natal has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rich Attonito
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Natal
Blue Corner
+168
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-195
(66%)
48
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rich Attonito
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jamie Yager · Jun 10L
vs David Branch · Dec 10W
vs Daniel Roberts · Jun 11L
KOvs Jake Hecht · Dec 11Rafael NatalL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Uriah Hall · May 15W
KOvs Kevin Casey · Jan 16L
vs Robert Whittaker · Apr 16L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Nov 16L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Jul 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rich AttonitoMetricRafael Natal
2.28
Strikes / min
3.10
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
2.48
59%
Strike defense
57%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
2.55
75%
Takedown defense
77%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rich AttonitoRafael Natal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rich Attonito(5 fights)Rafael Natal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Rich Attonito
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Rafael Natal
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16