Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ildemar Alcantara won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ildemar Alcantara wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Ildemar Alcantara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Richardson Moreira has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Richardson Moreira has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ildemar Alcantara has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Richardson Moreira
Red Corner
VS
Ildemar Alcantara
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Richardson Moreira
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 14Ildemar AlcantaraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 13L
vs Igor Araujo · Oct 13W
vs Albert Tumenov · Feb 14L
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 14L
vs Kevin Casey · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Richardson MoreiraMetricIldemar Alcantara
1.17
Strikes / min
1.93
1.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
67%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.00
100%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.66evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Richardson MoreiraIldemar Alcantara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Richardson Moreira(2 fights)Ildemar Alcantara(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.423.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Richardson Moreira
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Ildemar Alcantara
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7