Flyweight
3 Rounds
Justin Scoggins won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 6, 2013·Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Style matchupRichie Vaculik: WrestlervsJustin Scoggins: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Richie Vaculik wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Justin Scoggins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Scoggins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Scoggins has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Richie Vaculik
Red Corner
VS
Justin Scoggins
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Richie VaculikL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roldan Sangcha-an · Jun 14L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Nov 14L
vs Danny Martinez · Nov 15Justin ScogginsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joshua Sampo · May 15W
vs Ray Borg · Feb 16L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 16L
vs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Richie VaculikMetricJustin Scoggins
3.69
Strikes / min
3.56
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
57%
Strike defense
55%
3.00
TDs / 15 min
3.42
31%
Takedown defense
82%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap+1.40
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Richie Vaculik(4 fights)Justin Scoggins(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Richie Vaculik
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Justin Scoggins
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9