Flyweight
3 Rounds
Louis Smolka won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Friday, November 7, 2014·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupRichie Vaculik: WrestlervsLouis Smolka: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Richie Vaculik wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Louis Smolka wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Smolka is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Richie Vaculik has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Richie Vaculik
Red Corner
VS
Louis Smolka
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Richie Vaculik
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Scoggins · Dec 13W
vs Roldan Sangcha-an · Jun 14L
vs Danny Martinez · Nov 15Louis SmolkaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Richie VaculikMetricLouis Smolka
3.69
Strikes / min
4.67
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
57%
Strike defense
53%
3.00
TDs / 15 min
1.69
31%
Takedown defense
32%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Richie VaculikLouis Smolka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Richie Vaculik(4 fights)Louis Smolka(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.72.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Richie Vaculik
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Louis Smolka
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17