Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rick Story won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 22, 2012·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rick Story wins(72.4%)
Actual result: Rick Story wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rick Story has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rick Story (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Rick Story
Red Corner
VS
Brock Jardine
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
41
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rick Story
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Mar 14W
SUBvs Leonardo Mafra · Jul 14W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Oct 14W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · May 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 16Brock Jardine
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kenny Robertson · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rick StoryMetricBrock Jardine
3.80
Strikes / min
1.06
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
62%
Strike defense
56%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
0.00
63%
Takedown defense
14%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.63Δ 3.91 — meaningful gap-2.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rick StoryBrock Jardine
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rick Story(10 fights)Brock Jardine(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.9-26.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.647.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
Rick Story
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights16
Brock Jardine
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2