Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rick Story won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2013·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Rick Story wins(72.9%)
Actual result: Rick Story wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rick Story has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rick Story has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rick Story (53.5%).
- Quinn Mulhern has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rick Story
Red Corner
VS
Quinn Mulhern
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rick Story
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Mar 14W
SUBvs Leonardo Mafra · Jul 14W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Oct 14W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · May 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 16Quinn Mulhern
oldest →latest
L
vs Katsunori Kikuno · Jan 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rick StoryMetricQuinn Mulhern
3.80
Strikes / min
1.48
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
2.09
62%
Strike defense
51%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
1.36
63%
Takedown defense
33%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.63Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rick StoryQuinn Mulhern
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rick Story(10 fights)Quinn Mulhern(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.4-24.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.547.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Rick Story
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights16
Quinn Mulhern
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach—
Fights2