Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ricky Simon won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, February 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsBrian Kelleher: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Ricky Simon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ricky Simon has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Ricky Simon
Red Corner
VS
Brian Kelleher
Blue Corner
-253
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricky Simon
oldest →latest
L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24W
KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25W
vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25D
vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kevin Croom · Jan 22L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricky SimonMetricBrian Kelleher
3.03
Strikes / min
3.31
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
61%
Strike defense
54%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
1.68
76%
Takedown defense
60%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ricky SimonBrian Kelleher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricky Simon(10 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.4-13.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-137.0137.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Ricky Simon
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights17
Brian Kelleher
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17