Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raoni Barcelos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 8, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsRaoni Barcelos: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Ricky Simon
Red Corner
VS
Raoni Barcelos
Blue Corner
-188
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+158
(39%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricky Simon
oldest →latest
L
vs Mario Bautista · Jan 24L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24W
KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25W
vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25D
vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26Raoni BarcelosW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 23L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricky SimonMetricRaoni Barcelos
3.03
Strikes / min
4.65
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
61%
Strike defense
60%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
2.51
76%
Takedown defense
87%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ricky SimonRaoni Barcelos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricky Simon(10 fights)Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.8-8.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Ricky Simon
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights17
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14