Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ricky Turcios won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRicky Turcios: Pressure fightervsKevin Natividad: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Ricky Turcios wins(68.9%)
Actual result: Ricky Turcios wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ricky Turcios enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Kevin Natividad has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ricky Turcios
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Natividad
Blue Corner
-195
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricky TurciosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brady Hiestand · Aug 21L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Jul 22L
SUBvs Raul Rosas Jr. · Jun 24L
vs Benardo Sopaj · Jan 25L
SUBvs Alberto Montes · Mar 26Kevin NatividadL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miles Johns · Oct 20L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricky TurciosMetricKevin Natividad
4.68
Strikes / min
2.68
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.29
51%
Strike defense
47%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
3.66
44%
Takedown defense
83%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap-1.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ricky TurciosKevin Natividad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricky Turcios(6 fights)Kevin Natividad(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.5-30.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-441.0441.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ricky Turcios
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Kevin Natividad
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3