Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 2, 2013·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Style matchupRiki Fukuda: WrestlervsBrad Tavares: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Riki Fukuda wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Riki Fukuda has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Riki Fukuda (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Riki Fukuda
Red Corner
VS
Brad Tavares
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
45
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Riki Fukuda
oldest →latest
L
vs Nick Ring · Feb 11W
vs Steve Cantwell · Feb 12L
vs Costas Philippou · Jul 12W
vs Tom DeBlass · Nov 12Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Riki FukudaMetricBrad Tavares
4.24
Strikes / min
3.41
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
64%
Strike defense
54%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.70
70%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Riki FukudaBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Riki Fukuda(5 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-47.047.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Riki Fukuda
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28